Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.506947 0.587007 0.674830 0.778214 0.896482 1.027448 1.183367
2025-06-01 0.367150 0.474005 0.603510 0.771529 0.983231 1.240567 1.576524
2025-06-08 0.282694 0.395304 0.542079 0.746376 1.022229 1.380475 1.879535
2025-06-15 0.250015 0.372814 0.542473 0.792220 1.148395 1.635603 2.349574
2025-06-22 0.205704 0.325083 0.498898 0.767912 1.170696 1.747554 2.631449
2025-06-29 0.172048 0.286638 0.461596 0.744892 1.187974 1.849078 2.902977
2025-07-06 0.146468 0.256223 0.431295 0.726763 1.207647 1.952347 3.182813
2025-07-13 0.132288 0.241891 0.423773 0.742402 1.279817 2.140169 3.607765
2025-07-20 0.124252 0.236614 0.429948 0.780352 1.390822 2.397931 4.165959
2025-07-27 0.115000 0.227725 0.428538 0.804526 1.480105 2.626874 4.695616
2025-08-03 0.104617 0.215206 0.418972 0.812693 1.541519 2.813074 5.167569
2025-08-10 0.093993 0.200676 0.403810 0.808493 1.579510 2.960723 5.583272
2025-08-17 0.083513 0.185236 0.385551 0.797261 1.604987 3.091277 5.985862
2025-08-24 0.074793 0.172223 0.370501 0.790611 1.638618 3.240085 6.436393
2025-08-31 0.065334 0.156213 0.347365 0.764879 1.631899 3.312062 6.747903
2025-09-07 0.063618 0.157035 0.359072 0.811798 1.774580 3.681014 7.659418
2025-09-14 0.056007 0.143274 0.337983 0.786921 1.767254 3.755460 7.998660
2025-09-21 0.049452 0.131012 0.318612 0.763361 1.759843 3.828207 8.339270
2025-09-28 0.044042 0.120722 0.302385 0.744807 1.760967 3.917755 8.720628
2025-10-05 0.041454 0.117161 0.301337 0.760812 1.839761 4.175740 9.474750
2025-10-12 0.040427 0.117516 0.309655 0.799652 1.973702 4.561848 10.532192
2025-10-19 0.038627 0.115540 0.312023 0.824392 2.077320 4.890082 11.489115
2025-10-26 0.036100 0.111194 0.307927 0.832749 2.143036 5.139453 12.290824